Flawed geo-political giants have in the past been a source of instability (Germany before World War I is an obvious analogy), and there are good reasons to see them presenting increased risk in the twenty-first century.

地缘政治存在缺陷的大国在过去是不稳定的缘由(一次世界大战前的德国就是明显的例子)，而且有理由看到它们在二十一世纪带来更大的风险。

© Project Syndicate 1995 – 2011

http://www.project-syndicate.org/ 16.02.2011

© Project Syndicate 1995 – 2011

http://www.project-syndicate.org/ 16.02.2011

The United States, with its claims of exceptionalism, is usually thought of as free of historical analogies.

一直声称自己属于例外情况的美国，通常被认为不适于进行历史的类比。

© Project Syndicate 1995 – 2011

http://www.project-syndicate.org/ 23.01.2011

© Project Syndicate 1995 – 2011

http://www.project-syndicate.org/ 23.01.2011